The last item has really been eating at me since I started invistigating the CPBL and TML merger. Look at the average attendance for games in the CPBL:
Year Games Total Avg.
1990 180 899,955 5,000
1991 180 1,050,405 5,836
1992 180 1,238,063 6,878
1993 270 1,600,549 5,928
1994 270 1,607,677 5,954
1995 300 1,646,361 5,488
1996 300 1,364,424 4,548
1997 336 685,832 2,041
1998 315 690,089 2,191
1999 278* 496,433 1,786
2000 180 301,671 1,676
2001 180 337,707 1,876
2002 180 532,304 2,957
2003 300 958,596 3,195
Total 3,449 13,410,066 3,888
* 1999 was shortened due to a large earthquake. [Source - CPBL.com.tw in Chinese]
As you can see, the average attendance for baseball in the CPBL is a digit less than games in Japan. CPBL apparently had an identity crisis for a while and lost many fans, but even at the height of their success, they couldn't even manage an average close to the lowest market Japanese team. (I'm still looking for complete TML attendance records, by the way.)
How about in Korea? I haven't really looked into Korean attendance at all, so any input anyone can come up with will be much appriciated.
The one positive aspect with attendance that I can report is that, when Daiei hosted Orix in Taipei in May of 2002, the two game series saw 11,000 and 12,000 fans respectively. That tells me that it is possible to draw in Taiwan. Furthermore, the Japanese teams may actually have the effect of raising attendance in Taiwan. At least, until the novelty wears off. But comparing 11,000 fans at a game in Taipei to better than 45,000 fans a night at Fukuoka Dome, it's not much to get the Japanese owners excited about.
One thing I got from reading the "Ninja Catchers" paper about Taiwanese baseball is that the Taiwanese actually prefer Japanese baseball to MLB. If this is still true or not, I can't say, but after having their own benevolent dictator following the Japanese emperial rule seemed to give the Taiwanese a more appriciative feeling toward the Japanese for introducing the game to them than I get the impression that Korea feels. It's going to take some strong leadership to make such a league work, but will such leadership from the Pacific League feel too much like emperical encroachment of almost a century ago?
Essentially, the question I never asked myself before was:
What will such a merger look like from the Korean or Taiwanese point of view?
There is a lot of history between these three countries. There is so much potential if these three countries could come together and work as one (in baseball and other facets of life). I really want to see something work here, but fear that political, economic, and xenophobic barriers will prevent this dream from becoming a reality in the near future.
Really, I'm usually much more optomistic than this. I guess seeing how the owners are totally ignoring everyone not on the board of those 12 companies is getting to me. The Central League owners are just against the merger into one league, they don't care one way or the other about Kintetsu and Orix merging. This is the root of the problem! Why can't they see that?
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The vision is to revitalize Japanese baseball by throwing off the current mental shackles and creating a league offering truly professional and international opportunity and competion in Japan, Korea, Taiwan, and Hong Kong. Are there any businessmen with such vision here in the 21st century?