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Pitcher Statistics

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Pitcher Statistics
Hi all! Over at stevesayskanpai.wordpress.com I keep tabs on the Hanshin Tigers, occasionally live blogging games towards the end of last season.

This season I want to step up my efforts, and am starting to write my "Hanshin Guide 2009." The trouble is, being a Brit, I naturally think that the bat should be square and that there should be three sticks behind the plate, which we can call a "wicket."

Hee hee - no seriously, the problem is that as I've learnt baseball as I've learnt Hanshin, not having had it explained to me as a child, I find some of the stats very hard to understand.

And so to my question - how do you judge pitchers using baseball stats? Can you use ERA for starters, relief, and closers evenly (I'm guessing not)? How important are saves? (e.g. last season Kroon got more than Fujikawa narrowly, but I'd argue Fujikawa is the better pitcher.)

Any help appreciated! Reply here or drop me a mail.
Comments
Re: Pitcher Statistics
[ Author: westbaystars | Posted: Feb 5, 2009 11:10 AM | YBS Fan ]

First of all, I enjoy reading about your exploits in Korea and Japan. I just got a new camera (Nikon D60) for Christmas and hope to one day be able to take a shot that can be entered in a photo contest (even with little hope of winning).

Nonetheless, this is not an easy question to answer. But the question on the significance of ERA can with some simple high school statistics. Isn't there a rule that the greater the denominator (innings pitched for pitchers), the more accurate the result? For that reason, pitchers require a minimum of 3.1 innings pitched times (X) the number of games his team has played in order to qualify for a pitching title. Over a 144 game season, that comes to a minimum of 446 1/3 (rounding to the nearest third) innings. In baseball, any pitcher who threw less than that is statistically irrelevant with regard to ERA.

To compare pitchers with varying degrees of innings, though, there are a number of other stats that do a better job. Hits per 9 innings (H9 or H/9) is a good one, as it gives an idea of how many hits a pitcher gives up per game - if he were to throw a complete game every time out on the mound. If the ratio of HR/9 is close to H/9, then you know you have trouble (see BayStars pitchers). Walks + Hits per Inning Pitched (WHIP) is another very good one.

Tom Tango (aka Tangotiger) wrote "The Book" on baseball stats. He basically expanded on what Bill James (the founder of SABR - the Society for American Baseball Research) had done, which really started the whole statistical analysis of baseball boom. Tango can explain all of this much better than I can.
Re: Pitcher Statistics
[ Author: Guest | Posted: Feb 5, 2009 11:39 AM ]

Thanks for your reply! That's very useful stuff. Here is a list of Japanese stats I have translated. For me the problem is as much the English as the Japanese - any incorrect terminology please correct. From what you've said the useful stats would be [garbled] and [garbled], right? Hope others find this list useful - if so I'll do the batting stats, too. The ones I don't understand are in bold - especially the last two, which I really don't get!
    登板 - Number of Games
    完投 - Pitching The Whole Game
    無点勝 - No Score Victory
    無四球 - No Four Balls
    勝利 - Victories
    敗北 - Defeats
    セーブ - Saves
    勝率 - Winning %
    被打数 - Opposition Time At Bad (?)
    球数 - Number of Pitches? Total? Really?
    被安打 - Number of Hits The Opposition Get
    被本塁打 - Number of Home Runs The Opposition Get
    四球 - Four Balls
    死球 - Dead Balls
    三振 - Strike Outs

    点 - Run Charged To The Pitcher?

    自責点 - An Earned Run?
PS: Glad you still check the blog. The D60 is a good choice! I'm thinking about upgrading to a D90 in the near future.
Re: Pitcher Statistics
[ Author: westbaystars | Posted: Feb 6, 2009 10:43 AM | YBS Fan ]

A good place to start for baseball stat terminology would be the Baseball Statistics Wikipedia page. It explains the commonly used abbreviations and how to calculate some of the formulas. Here are the pitching ones:
    登板 - G: Games
    完投 - CG: Complete Games
    無点勝 - SHO: SHut Outs (sometimes SO - victory is assumed)
    無四球 - NoBBCG: Complete game not allowing any walks (Japan-only stat?)
    勝利 - W: Wins
    敗北 - L: Losses
    セーブ - SV: Saves (sometimes just S)
    勝率 - W%: Winning Percentage
    被打数 - OAB: Opposition At Bats (sometimes just AB)
    球数 - PIT: Pitches Thrown
    被安打 - OH: Hits by Opposition (sometimes just H)
    被本塁打 - OHR: Home Runs hit by Opposition (sometimes just HR)
    四球 - BB: Bases on Balls/Walks (W on Project Scoresheet)
    死球 - HB: Hit Batsmen (sometimes HBP)
    三振 - K: Strike Outs (sometimes SO which gets confused with SHO)
    失点 - R: Total Runs allowed (earned and unearned)
    自責点 - ER: Earned Runs allowed
Unfortunately, not all of the English abbreviations are used consistently. But these are the most commonly used ones.

Hope this helps.
Re: Pitcher Statistics
[ Author: Guest | Posted: Feb 6, 2009 10:30 PM ]

- 無点勝

I don't know where the OP found this, but the more popular term is 完封, which does not necessarily mean a win record.

- 無四球 - NoBBCG: Complete game not allowing any walks (Japan-only stat?)

This stat isn't popular in Japan either. It's not that useful in this day and age because it's so rare.

- 被打数

Should be 被打率.
Re: Pitcher Statistics
[ Author: westbaystars | Posted: Feb 7, 2009 12:10 AM | YBS Fan ]

I agree, 完封 is used more often than 無点勝. But this was coming from the Tigers' web site which used it (TBS Radio uses it, too).

And there were 25 pitchers who threw complete games without allowing a single walk in 2008:
+-------------+------+------+
| Name | Team | NoBB |
+-------------+------+------+
| Sugiuchi | SFT | 4 |
| Iwakuma | RAK | 3 |
| Shimizu | LOT | 2 |
| Darvish | NIP | 2 |
| Yamamoto | ORX | 2 |
| Ohba | SFT | 2 |
| Ohtonari | SFT | 2 |
| Wada | SFT | 2 |
| Ishikawa | YAK | 2 |
| Utsumi | YOM | 2 |
| Chen | CHU | 1 |
| M. Yamamoto | CHU | 1 |
| Andoh | HAN | 1 |
| Iwata | HAN | 1 |
| Shimoyanagi | HAN | 1 |
| K. Maeda | HIR | 1 |
| Lewis | HIR | 1 |
| Karakawa | LOT | 1 |
| S. Watanabe | LOT | 1 |
| Nagai | RAK | 1 |
| Tanaka | RAK | 1 |
| Wakui | SEI | 1 |
| Douglass | YAK | 1 |
| Kobayashi | YOK | 1 |
| Miura | YOK | 1 |
+-------------+------+------+
Does anyone notice the quality of pitchers who top this list? NoBB is a very good indicator of good pitchers.
Re: Pitcher Statistics
[ Author: NipponHam11 | Posted: Feb 5, 2009 2:48 PM | SFT Fan ]

Another one I like to guage pitchers by is OBA, or Opponent's Batting Average. Pitchers with high OBA usually also have high WHIP, and that means they're allowing runners on base. You'd like to have your OBA, WHIP, and BB/9 as low as possible because that is a way you can at least get a sense of how often the opponents get on base, which can translate into a high ERA, unless you have a pitcher who is amazing at getting out of jams.
Re: Pitcher Statistics
[ Author: PLNara | Posted: Feb 5, 2009 4:20 PM | HT Fan ]

For pitchers, I like:

k/9ip
k:bb ratio
groundball:flyball ratio

I like WHIP, but it is a little misleading as it doesn't take total bases into account. Total bases / innings pitched would be a good stat.

I think the save is kind of a garbage stat. For relievers, I like to see how many inherited runners they allow to score.
Re: Pitcher Statistics
[ Author: Guest | Posted: Feb 6, 2009 9:41 AM ]

Anyone who can provide an accurate translation of Japanese baseball stats to English I'd be most appreciative! Michael, I ordered "The Book" used off Amazon - looks like good reading for a rookie like myself.
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